Market analysis

Consumer price index

Also calledCPI · consumer price index · CPI

A consumer price index is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for a representative basket of goods and services.

What Consumer price index means

It tracks how the cost of a typical consumer basket changes from one period to the next. In practice, statisticians price selected goods and services and combine them using weights that reflect spending patterns. Traders often watch CPI because it is a key inflation gauge, but the index is a statistical average, not every household’s exact experience.

CPI is one of the main inputs markets use to judge inflation pressure, real purchasing power and the likelihood of policy changes. A hotter-than-expected CPI reading can move bond yields, rates and currency prices because it may change expectations for central bank action.

If a CPI index is 300.0 in one month and 303.0 a year later, the index has risen 1.0% over that period. That does not mean every item rose by 1.0%; it means the weighted basket as a whole became more expensive. This is simplified.

Common questions

Is CPI the same as inflation+

Not exactly. CPI is a price index commonly used to measure consumer inflation, but inflation is the broader concept of sustained price increases across an economy.

Why do traders care about CPI+

Because CPI can change expectations for interest rates, which can affect currencies, bonds and equities.

Go to the original material.

01U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — Consumer Price Index FAQ02U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — CPI overview03U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — Overview of Inflation and Prices